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What is the chance the markets could significantly increase

October 21, 2015

Rick Ackerman joins us to chat about the conventional markets and their ability to significantly increase. We then move on to gold considering its move down today.

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Discussion
25 Comments
    Oct 21, 2015 21:53 AM

    ASK RICK…..How POT SALES are doing……is it generating the expected TAX REVENUES, for the state.

    Oct 21, 2015 21:59 AM

    EASING does not seem to be disappearing. Must mean stocks are going higher.
    Greed has no Limits.

    Oct 21, 2015 21:10 AM

    Rick is a breath of fresh air in a world of bullshitters.
    His evaluation of the stinking intervention is right on!

      Oct 21, 2015 21:24 AM

      I would have to agree

        Oct 22, 2015 22:37 AM

        Rick is ace.

        Oct 22, 2015 22:24 AM

        Rick is a sharp guy, and I like that he has his own thoughts and often a unique voice in the investing wilderness. He is very accurate using his hidden pivot method for short-term trading as well.

    Oct 21, 2015 21:20 AM

    Canopy Growth Corporation. It’s alive!

    http://schrts.co/XlM1dc

    Oct 21, 2015 21:10 PM

    Yes…true…the “Lunatic Stocks” are going down a bit. And so…the value of my portfolio is going up a bit. Personally, I think there is no way that NETFLIX or TESLA will be able to defend their competitive advantages and their valuations and debt are just too high. So, I put some money into short options there. Shorting the broad indices hasn’t helped much so far… Good Luck!!! Keep it up!!!

      Oct 21, 2015 21:32 PM

      Good thoughts Nic. Some of the high flyers have valuations that are a bit “lunatic” and it is unlikely they’ll be able to hang on to their current valuations on a longer term horizon. However, many fund managers pour into them, because they have to put other people’s money into something and they follow the herd.

      As for the general indexes, Chris Temple has made the point for the last few months that there is a great deal of sector rotation going on, so money is leaving one stock and moving into the undervalued stocks. There are still good growth stories or flavors of the month like the recent moves in Weight Watchers in October (with Oprah’s help, although it pulled back hard today) or look at the last few months in Boeing. So the general indexes haven’t had a big move yet and have trended sideways most of the year due to this internal distribution.

      Having said that, there are many indications that general markets are shaky ground like the advance/decline ration Rick A. has mentioned several times since April 2015. Also, Avi Gilburt just mentioned he feels we could be on the cusp of the bear market if the S&P can’t regain ground above 2070 soon. This seems to coincide with Doc’s views and my own. Ironically, he also kept the door open for potential blow off top to 2400 though if the general markets do kick it in again, which would match Gary’s thesis. It will be interesting to see what plays out the end of this week and moving into next week for if there is any juice left, or if the bear is waking up in the general market indexes.

      Good luck to you in your trading!

        Oct 21, 2015 21:55 PM

        Thanks man!!! Forgot about the sector rotation. Yes You are all right. I am also looking for some breakouts of companies just piercing through their moving averages from beneath, so I can go short. Someone told me, that when stocks violate a resistance level they soon fall back. However, it is hard to find something so tempting, on a fundamental basis, as the ones I mentioned above.

        As to the conventional markets: Today it seems they are a bit shy. Maybe they will finally buckle.

        Keep it up!!!

          Oct 22, 2015 22:34 AM

          As for stocks poking through their resistance it is a mixed bag and could actually be very bullish at times. It really depends on a number of factors when looking and the prior chart/price action, the 20 day/ 50 day/200 day moving averages, the strength and momentum indicators like (RSI, ADX, MACD, Slow Stochastics, Volume, etc…) Often a stock will approach a Fib resistance level, trend-line, or particular moving average and pull back prior to reaching it, but then on the next attempt blow through it and keep going. In other instances, an equity will just barely make it up through resistance and then turn down hard making a double or triple top. It really is not a one size fits all scenario, so it needs to be taken on a case by case situation, viewed in a larger context, and acted on accordingly.

          Good luck to you Nic in your investing and good to have another sharp contributor on the site. Cheers!

        Oct 21, 2015 21:24 PM

        Weight Watcher …………will be HUGE,,,,DONALD SAYS……

          Oct 21, 2015 21:25 PM

          Late nite with Jimmy F….

            Oct 22, 2015 22:41 AM

            Thanks guys.

            I got a problem. Since I am new to options and since I am neither from the US nor Canada I have no idea whatsoever where to look for options on North American stocks. I am from Europe and so far I have only found one bank that I trust that offers exposure to those kind of things.

            Can You help me out? …and furthermore…will You also do it?

            Regards!!! Keep it up!!!

            Oct 22, 2015 22:30 AM

            NIC……..the best guys to direct your question to….MATTHEW, EXSELSIOR, DOC.

            Oct 22, 2015 22:37 AM

            OH, btw………..Welcome to the site……………

            Oct 22, 2015 22:26 AM

            FFM that late night with Jimmy Fallon and Donald Trump was very funny.

            Here it is for anyone that missed it…..It’s gonna be HUGE….

            https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=c2DgwPG7mAA

            Oct 22, 2015 22:13 AM

            HUGE……………………

    Oct 21, 2015 21:19 PM

    I bought some Ferrari (RACE) after it dropped sharply from the open and then sold on a bounce which was weak. It looks highly risky and overvalued like all IPO’s.

      Oct 21, 2015 21:19 PM

      I would get the stock certificate , keep it , buy one share and sell it to car collectors, the value of the paper may bring a higher price than the share price………..jmho.

        Oct 21, 2015 21:20 PM

        What car collector does not like Ferrari…….

          Oct 21, 2015 21:43 PM

          I like buying the Porsche brand as they are very reliable and practical such as the 911’s and the price is less than half.

            Oct 21, 2015 21:23 PM

            I like Porsche too……nice enough car………but a Harley just makes me feel better.

            Oct 22, 2015 22:32 AM

            Paul…………the oil change is cheaper also, on a 911

            Oct 22, 2015 22:34 AM

            Bird………you like the Harley………..because you like to be BOSS HOG………